NDA India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Forecast in Bihar and Himachal Pradesh
As the Lok Sabha elections 2024 approach, the political landscape in India is undergoing significant scrutiny. India TV-CNX conducted a comprehensive survey in Himachal Pradesh and Bihar to gauge the sentiments and preferences of voters in these states. The survey aimed to provide insights into the potential outcomes of the elections, focusing on key constituencies and regional dynamics.
Bihar Projections:
According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is poised to secure victory in 35 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar. The survey indicates a potential increase in seats for the I.N.D.I.A bloc compared to the 2019 polls. Notably, the NDA is expected to maintain its dominance in crucial constituencies such as Aurangabad, Buxar, Gaya, Sasaram, and Arrah in the Magadh-Bhojpur region.
Analysis of 2019 Lok Sabha Results:
A retrospective analysis of the 2019 Lok Sabha results in Bihar provides valuable context. Key victories for the BJP and its allies include Ravi Shankar Prasad’s triumph in the Patna Sahib constituency and Ram Kripal Yadav’s win in Pataliputra. These results underscore the BJP-led coalition’s stronghold in the region.
Regional Dynamics:
The India TV-CNX survey also highlights the evolving dynamics within Bihar politics. While the NDA is expected to maintain its lead in constituencies like Munger, Pataliputra, Patna Sahib, Jahanabad, and Nalanda, the ‘Mahagathbandhan’ alliance may gain ground in the Nawada constituency. This shift indicates the complex interplay of alliances and voter sentiments shaping the electoral landscape.
Himachal Pradesh Forecast:
In Himachal Pradesh, the BJP is predicted to replicate its 2019 performance by securing victory in all four Lok Sabha seats. This projection suggests continued support for the BJP in the state and reinforces its electoral dominance.
Bihar:
- The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to win 35 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar.
- The India TV-CNX survey suggests that the I.N.D.I.A bloc may also gain more seats compared to the 2019 polls.
- In the Magadh-Bhojpur region, the NDA is expected to maintain its stronghold in constituencies such as Aurangabad, Buxar, Gaya, Sasaram, and Arrah.
- However, the ‘Mahagathbandhan’ alliance is likely to take the lead in the Nawada constituency.
Himachal Pradesh:
- The BJP is anticipated to replicate its 2019 performance and secure victory in all four Lok Sabha seats in Himachal Pradesh.
- The India TV-CNX survey aims to analyze the voter sentiment and predict which party might have an advantage in the upcoming general elections.
Analysis:
Bihar:
- The projected success of the NDA in Bihar indicates the continued support for the ruling coalition in the state.
- The performance of the ‘Mahagathbandhan’ alliance in specific constituencies suggests pockets of opposition strength within the state.
- Factors such as caste dynamics, regional issues, and candidate selection could play crucial roles in determining the final outcome.
Himachal Pradesh:
- The BJP’s anticipated victory in Himachal Pradesh underscores its strong foothold in the state’s political landscape.
- The party’s ability to maintain its winning streak reflects the satisfaction of voters with its governance and policies.
- Himachal Pradesh’s unique socio-economic and demographic characteristics may contribute to the BJP’s electoral dominance.
Conclusion:
The India TV-CNX Opinion Poll offers valuable insights into the mood of voters and potential outcomes in Bihar and Himachal Pradesh ahead of the Lok Sabha elections 2024. While the NDA is expected to maintain its stronghold in Bihar, regional dynamics and alliance strategies may influence the final results. Similarly, the BJP’s anticipated success in Himachal Pradesh underscores the party’s enduring appeal in the state. As the electoral landscape evolves, these projections provide a glimpse into the unfolding narrative of Indian democracy.